Revisitando a tese dos coeficientes decrescentes: Uma análise para o Brasil, 2000 a 2018
Uma análise para o Brasil, 2000 a 2018
Abstract
This article investigates the declining coefficient hypothesis to Brazil between 2000 and 2018. It employes statistical tests applied by Obstlom (1992) and Aroche-Reyes (1995), to find the pattern of technical change in Brazil. We used the input-output tables from Passoni and Freitas (2020) in our estimations. The results suggest the decrease in Leontief's direct technical coefficients. The Brazilian economy presented a rise in the productivity of inputs in the aforementioned period.
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References
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FORSELL, O. (1988). Growth and the changes in the structure of the Finish economy in the 1960s and 1970s, in M. CIASCHINI (ED.) Input-output analysis, current developments. New York.
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GUILHOTO, J. J. M., U. A. SESSO (2005). Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir de Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais. Economia Aplicada, v. 9, 1–23.
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LEONTIEF, W. (1953). Studies in the Structure of the American Economy. Oxford University Press.
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PASSONI, P.; FREITAS, F. (2020). Estimação de Matrizes Insumo-Produto anuais para o Brasil no Sistema de Contas Nacionais Referência 2010. Textos para discussão, IE-UFRJ.
RASMUSSEN, P. N. (1956). Studies in Intersectoral Relations. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
SHAIKH, A. M.; TONAK, E. A. (1994). Measuring the wealth of nations: the political economy of national accounts. UK: Cambridge University Press. 380 p.
SIMONOVITS, A. (1975). A Note on the Underestimation and Overestimation of the Leontief Inverse. Econometrica, v. 43, n. 3, p. 493-498.
SCHUMANN, J. (1990). On some basic issues of Input-output economics: Technical structure, prices, imputations, structural decomposition, applied general equilibrium. Economic Systems Research, v. 2, n. 3, p. 229-239.
SKOLKA, J. (1983) Important input coefficients in Austrian input- output tables for 1964 and 1976, in: A. Smyshlyaev (ed.) Proceedings of the Fourth IIASA Task Force Meeting on the I-O Model (Laxenburg, IIASA).
SKOLKA, J. (1989). Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis for Austria. Journal of Policy Modelling, v. 11, n. 1, p. 45-66.
UNITED NATIONS (2010). World Economic Situation and Prospects 2010. UN, New York.
URATA, S. (1988). Economic Growth and Structural Change in the Soviet Economy, 1959-72. In M. Ciaschini (Ed.): Input-Output Analysis. Current Developments. New York: Chapman and Hall.
AROCHE-REYES, F. (2006). Regímines de crecimiento, cambio structural y coeficientes de insumo. El Trimestre Económico, v. LXXIII (4), n. 292, p. 881-902.
ASSA, J. (2016). The Financialization of GDP and its Implications for Macroeconomic Debates. Working Paper 10/2016 Department of Economics, The New School for Social Research, p. 1-27.
BERNI, D. A. (1999). Industrialização e duplo deflacionamento: Uma reavaliação do crescimento dos anos 70. Revista Nova Economia, v. 9, n. 1, p. 9-28.
CARTER, A. (1970). Structural Change in the American Economy. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
CARVALHO, L. Valsa brasileira: do boom ao caos econômico. São Paulo: Todavia, 2018. 190p.
CHENERY, H.; WATANABE, T. (1958). International Comparisons of the Structure of Production. Econometrica, v. 26, n. 4, p. 487-521.
CRAVEN, J. (1983). Input-Output Analysis and Technical Change. Econometrica, v. 51, n. 3, p. 585-598.
FORSELL, O. (1972). Explaining Changes in Input-Output Coefficients in Finland. In A. Carter y A. Brody (Eds.), Input-Output Techniques, North Holland.
FORSELL, O. (1988). Growth and the changes in the structure of the Finish economy in the 1960s and 1970s, in M. CIASCHINI (ED.) Input-output analysis, current developments. New York.
FORSELL, O. (1989). The Input-Output Framework for Analyzing Transmission of Technical Progress between Industries. Economic Systems Research, v. l, n. 4, p. 429-446.
GALA, P. (2017). Complexidade Econômica: uma nova perspectiva para entender a antiga questão da riqueza das nações. Editora Contraponto.
GUILHOTO, J. J. M., U. A. SESSO (2005). Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir de Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais. Economia Aplicada, v. 9, 1–23.
INSTITUTO BRASILEIRO DE GEOGRAFIA E ESTATÍSTICA (IBGE). CNAE 2.0. 2014. Disponível em:
INSTITUTO BRASILEIRO DE GEOGRAFIA E ESTATÍSTICA (IBGE). Tabela de Recursos e Usos. Disponível em:
https://www.ibge.gov.br/estatisticas/economicas/contas-nacionais/9052-sistema-de-contas-nacionais-brasil.html?=&t=resultados />. Acesso em: 8 mar. 2019.
LEONTIEF, W. (1953). Studies in the Structure of the American Economy. Oxford University Press.
LEONTIEF, W. (1963). The Structure of Development. Scientific American, v. 209, p. 148-166.
LEONTIEF, W. (1986). Input-Output Economics. New York, Oxford University Press.
MARQUETTI, A.; HOFF, C.; and MIEBACH, A.; 2017. Profitability and distribution: the origin of the Brazilian political crisis. New Left Review. (Forthcoming).
MAZZUCATO, M. (2018). The value of everything: making and taking in the global economy. New York: Hachette Book group. 360p.
MILLER, R. E., BLAIR, P. D. (1985). Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. Englewood Cliffs, Prentice-Hall.
MILLER, R.E.; P.D. Blair (2009). Input-output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. New York: Cambridge University Press.
MORRONE, H. (2015). Assessing the impact of distributive policies on the Brazilian economy using an SCGE model. Economic Systems Research (Print), 27, 1-18.
MORRONE, H. (2021). Qualitative input-output analysis of the Brazilian structural transformation, 2005-2014. Revista Economia Contemporânea, v. 25, n. 1, p. 1-23.
OSTBLOM, G. (1992). Parametric and non-parametric tests on technical change for Sweeden. Economic Systems Research, v. 4, n. 3, p. 235-243.
PASSONI, P.; FREITAS, F. (2020). Estimação de Matrizes Insumo-Produto anuais para o Brasil no Sistema de Contas Nacionais Referência 2010. Textos para discussão, IE-UFRJ.
RASMUSSEN, P. N. (1956). Studies in Intersectoral Relations. Amsterdam: North-Holland.
SHAIKH, A. M.; TONAK, E. A. (1994). Measuring the wealth of nations: the political economy of national accounts. UK: Cambridge University Press. 380 p.
SIMONOVITS, A. (1975). A Note on the Underestimation and Overestimation of the Leontief Inverse. Econometrica, v. 43, n. 3, p. 493-498.
SCHUMANN, J. (1990). On some basic issues of Input-output economics: Technical structure, prices, imputations, structural decomposition, applied general equilibrium. Economic Systems Research, v. 2, n. 3, p. 229-239.
SKOLKA, J. (1983) Important input coefficients in Austrian input- output tables for 1964 and 1976, in: A. Smyshlyaev (ed.) Proceedings of the Fourth IIASA Task Force Meeting on the I-O Model (Laxenburg, IIASA).
SKOLKA, J. (1989). Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis for Austria. Journal of Policy Modelling, v. 11, n. 1, p. 45-66.
UNITED NATIONS (2010). World Economic Situation and Prospects 2010. UN, New York.
URATA, S. (1988). Economic Growth and Structural Change in the Soviet Economy, 1959-72. In M. Ciaschini (Ed.): Input-Output Analysis. Current Developments. New York: Chapman and Hall.
Published
2022-03-28
How to Cite
Morrone, H. (2022). Revisitando a tese dos coeficientes decrescentes: Uma análise para o Brasil, 2000 a 2018. A Economia Em Revista - AERE, 29(3). Retrieved from https://periodicos.uem.br/ojs/index.php/EconRev/article/view/61670
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Artigos
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